Hurricane Tammy Time

H ere's where Tammy is located right now . Hurricane Tammy Time ...

and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has reinforced modestly given that Friday night.

The storm strengthened into a cyclone on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon area for a typhoon to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.

By early in the week ahead, Tammy needs to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.

The path northward far from the Caribbean has become less specific. Tammy was at first expected to be caught by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer system assistance is now recommending that the storm may drift around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.

Typhoon Katrina (August 2005) became a big and extremely effective cyclone that triggered enormous damage and considerable death. It is the costliest hurricane to ever hit the United States, going beyond the record formerly held by Hurricane Andrew from 1992.


Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Hurricane Katrina was due to flooding brought on by engineering flaws in the flood protection system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, in addition to large locations in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.

Hurricane cautions have now been released for a number of islands in the northeast Caribbean. That indicates hurricane conditions are anticipated in a few of these areas. You can see the latest warnings and watches in the map listed below.

Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy ought to spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through at least early Sunday in some areas.

Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (in your area approximately 4 inches).

T he heavy rainfall could cause flooding and mudslides in a few of these areas.

Norma, now a Category 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center stated.

Air Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and cyclone and conditions were happening over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.

Norma is anticipated to be somewhat weaker by the time it strikes land, but it still will be a typhoon that might bring life-threatening conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a couple of hundred thousand individuals, the cyclone center stated.

In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Hurricane Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has actually triggered cyclone warnings for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island nations and territories in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 mph.

Neither storm is a danger to the United States.

In the Atlantic, Tammy maintained optimal sustained winds of 85 mph and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center said at 2 p.m. ET.

The Classification 1 typhoon lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center stated.

Tammy is expected to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.

Hurricane-force winds extended outside up to 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended external as much as 125 miles.

Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are uncommon for late October. Tammy is only the 3rd hurricane to form this far southeast in the Atlantic given that 1900, according to cyclone specialist Michael Lowry.

It's also the latest-forming cyclone in this part of the Atlantic considering that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.

Hurricane experts formerly cautioned cyclones could form in uncommon locations later in the season this year because of the exceptionally warm Atlantic Ocean.

A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.

Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most severe risks and might result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, however could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain ought to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.

Conditions will begin to enhance from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.

With Tammy in the Atlantic, just 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.

Hurricane Tammy